There a lot of States that appear to be no-doubters for each Candidate, where their lead is at or over 10%. Neither of the Candidates can get to 270 just with those States.
Then there are the six "Swing States" that will decide the election.
- Arizona
- Georgia
- Pennsylvania
- Nevada
- Michigan
- Wisconsin
Trump is currently ahead in every single one of them, and he doesn't need them all.
He's ahead by 4% or more in four of them - Arizona, Georgia, Nevada, and Pennsylvania. If he takes just those four, he's at 286 and he wins.
And he'll move up close to 4% in Michigan after the most recent CNN poll there - Trump +8%.
Virginia is now also in play. It had been around 6%, but the most recent poll puts Virginia right at 4%.
Minnesota is also right at 4%. No one was expecting THAT State to be in play.
If he could take Michigan and Wisconsin, where's ahead by less than 4%, and also Virginia and Minnesota, he's at 334 and it's a landslide.
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