The one lock this year seems to be Oldman (aside from maybe "Coco" but Pixar's pretty much *always* a lock). Will probably check that film out- always liked him and it's a subject I'm interested in but not very informed on. Aside from that, the main Oscar fodder films I need to see are "Dunkirk" and maybe "The Post". Might eventually check out "The Shape of Water" but aren't expecting to like it (generally not into Del Toro). I'm sure Sally Hawkins is good, though- she was amazing in Mike Leigh's "Happy-Go-Lucky".
Cool that "The Disaster Artist" is nominated for adapted screenplay. It was indeed surprisingly well-written.
I was pretty lukewarm on "Baby Driver" but will admit that the chase scenes (which are plentiful) were as well-done as I've ever seen so it's no surprise that it's nominated in all the editing and mixing categories and I won't be surprised if there's a mini-sweep in that film's favor.
Also nice to see 2 human vs. killer apes films competing in the visual effects category. The effects in "Planet of The Apes" were way better than they were in "Skull Island", of course, though they'll probably give the award to one of the apeless bores like "Blade Runner" or "Star Wars".