Re: Under the old system, the best picture nominees would be:
Posted by Rich B. on January 23, 2018, 4:58 pm, in reply to "Re: Under the old system, the best picture nominees would be: "
I'm just going by what the various pre-Oscar awards (Producers' Guild, Screen Actors' Guild, etc.) have favored so far, which is how Oscar prognosticators predict who is likely to get nominated and who eventually wins. There's a lot of overlap between Academy voters and those guilds, and Shape of Water and Three Billboards have already won a lot of those awards. It's how certain movies (like Birdman) can be said to be "building momentum" over the course of awards season.