I've been trying to find data on the leading economic indicators. It isn't easy. Maybe I'm just missing something. You'd think there'd be one site where someone tracks all of it.
Not that I've been able to find.
That said, the economy is doing quite well, and I think will do even better in 2026:
GDP Growth:
Q4 2024: +1.9%
Q1 2025: -0.6%
Q2 2025: +3.8%
Q3 2025: +4.4%
Q4 2025: +4.3% (estimated)
Core inflation rate (CPI) [the Fed "target" is 2.0%]:
8/2025: 2.5%
9/2025: 2.4%
10/2025: [unavailable due to shutdown?]
11/2025: 2.2%
12/2025: 2.3%
1/2026: 2.4%
Unemployment Rate [I've seen "full employment" defined as anywhere from 4.6% to 5.0%]:
8/2025: 4.3%
9/2025: 4.4%
10/2025: [unavailable due to shutdown?]
11/2025: 4.5%
12/2025: 4.4%
1/2026: 4.3%
DOW close at the end of the month:
8/2025: 45,545
9/2025: 46,398
10/2025: 47,563
11/2025: 47,716
12/2025: 48,063
1/2026: 48,892
currently: 49,501
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Message Thread
- CE0802 February 16, 2026, 7:33 am
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