DFM cannot be sure. He uses MAD (mutually assured destruction)
as an argument. It’s a big fat folly of a gamble. With a looming dire existential situation for Putin what would Russia have to lose if they are trapped? Or on the verge of annihilation. Gamble with a surprise attack, not against Western Europe but to cut off the chief antagonist…..the United States. DFM also seems to believe that modern Russia is the old clunky Soviet Union. According to him their weapons are inferior. But ignores the Bear’s major advancements in hypersonic SARMAT iCBMs. And of special note is his above claim that their top leadership/generals will not push that red button but would dispatch Putin. DFM and Las Vegas think alike. 8 billion humans are the pawns.
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