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There is no vaccine. Coronavirus has not stopped spreading. If the following remain true:
- mortality rate holds,
- Coronavirus infects 70 percent of the population annually, leading to a 4.441 percent annual death rate from Coronalvirus alone,
- immunity doesn't last more than one season
- births minus deaths (except from Coronavirus) worldwide (net growth) stays the same at 1.04 percent of total world population annually.
If all these assumptions remain constant, then deaths from Coronavirus exceed the normal growth rate, causing the global population to decrease by 3.37 percent. In other words, each year the world's population will be just 96.63 percent of the previous year. After 50 years, world population will have decreased by 82 percent. The current population of 7.787 billion will be reduced to just 1.4 billion. This is what the world population was around the year 1880.
And it could just keep going until the human species disappears entirely. In fact it could happen even faster because social distancing might reduce the birth rate by keeping people apart, who might otherwise have children.
Just as the WHO failed to declare Coronavirus a pandemic until it was everywhere, we might all be failing to declare Coronavirus an existential threat. Of course I'm making a lot of assumptions, but there is potential here: As much potential as an asteroid from space sending us back to the stone age, or a supervolcano, or an ice age, doing the same thing.
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