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on April 22, 2026, 8:30:47, in reply to "But the production has at least been there with Parker in the past. 11 sacks as a soph. 6 FF."
I’m happy to be wrong but I think either guy screams bust
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Now why it slipped last year is certainly a question but that’s why he’s available at 25 and not a top 10 selection.
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Parker and Woods both supposedly are good effort guys. That doesn’t jive with their 2025 performance and if the effort was high then they’re probably not that good or topped out. It’s not like they played a particularly difficult schedule either.
IMO there is no upside plus I think Clemson D guys are usually overrated coming into the pros. Dexter Lawrence is an exception.
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And those guys are going to come with warts because we’re hopefully picking in the 20s or higher for the next decade.
Allen’s scheme already narrows the field quickly.
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No underachievers
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Realistic candidates only.
1. CB Jermod McCoy (somewhat in contrast to my hot takes, I don't think he makes it to 25, obviously not a doctor)
2. DE Zion Young
3. DE TJ Parker
4. DE Keldrick Faulk
5. DE Gabe Jacas
6. DT Peter Woods
7. S Dillon Thienaman
8. S Emmanuel McNeil-Warren
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Welcome to the Outlier Draft.
The best players? All at "non-premium" positions. The 3 guys I think that can't miss are a running back, a safety, and an off-ball LB.
The prospects at premium positions all have a major flaw. The best pass rusher has T-Rex arms. The best offensive tackles might actually be guards. The best QB thinks whole milk is spicy.
Trying to figure out who goes where is a dart throw. Well, to be fair, it's always a dart throw. It's *especially* a dart throw this year, ok? Trying to figure out which team is going to be ok overlooking which weakness is going to be damn near impossible.
In the thread below, I'll make some posts about my thoughts on the different positions to get into more specific discussions on players.
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