CoffeeNetwork (New York) – Triggered by rainfall early this month, Brazil’s 2020-2021 coffee crop has already seen a first flowering in some areas.
“About 40% of the crop in Sul de Minas and some of the crop in Northeast Sao Paulo has already flowered,” Drew Lerner, President of World Weather Inc. told CoffeeNetwork in an interview today.
More rains are needed now in order to ensure that those flowers will not abort, “otherwise we will have lower production levels even if we have a normal start to the rainy season,” said Lerner.
The current outlook is for minimal amounts of rain in those areas over the next two weeks. Sul de Minas is expected to get some showers on Friday, but with most areas only receiving 8 millimeters or less. Then, it will turn relatively dry for the following week. “While there may be some spits and spats of rain, I don’t see a well-organized weather system that will work its way into the region bringing healthy, general rain for the next 10 days,” he said. “Because of that, I do foresee some of those flowers being aborted and production losses.”
Even with a normal start to the rainy season in mid-September, “new flowers won’t make up for those losses,” he said.