The statement was made after holding a forum on Tuesday with industry experts in Guaxupé, southern Minas Gerais, who discussed at the cooperative's headquarters how weather conditions have affected culture in Brazil's main producing region, largest global exporter of the commodity.
"We understand that if the cooperative will not receive (what it projected) it is because it has a fall (in production), it was very clear on this day of climate debate, the speakers were very emphatic about the climate problem," he told Reuters by phone.
Cooxupé's initial expectation was a receipt of 5.732 million 60-kg bags, of which 4.25 million members and 1.48 million third parties.
"We are coming to the conclusion that these numbers are no more than 3.9 million to 4 million members and 1.2 million third parties ... That drops to 5.2 million," he added.
Last year, between members and third parties, Cooxupé received a record volume of 6.45 million bags, of which almost 5 million members. The 2018 season was the peak in the biannual production cycle of arabica coffee, the dominant variety of the cooperative, which operates in the Cerrado Mineiro and part of São Paulo, as well as southern Minas Gerais.
“This crop that is ending, we will have some quantity losses, and also the 2020, which did not even start, unfortunately. Our crops are already giving their first blooms ... ”, he said, noting that the members have already seen two blooms: one smaller in July and another recently.
"Depending on the weather, the flowering is not at the right time, does not catch, if it is little rain, this is harmful to the flowering," he added, explaining that the flowers need more rain to avenge.
Thus, although it is too early to say, he does not believe that next year's crop, the high of the biannual arabica coffee cycle, will be higher than the one recorded in 2018.
According to experts who debated the theme at the invitation of Cooxupé, the weather has been changing, which causes reflections in coffee plantations because of irregular rainfall, high temperatures, frost and irregular flowering (Reuters, 8/20/19)