Main Arabic coffee countries are in an emergency situation with serious logistic problems. There is no labor available to pick the cherries, neither to transporting them to the local warehouses, to the plants for processing and to move the exportation bags to the ports. People are not working and that situation will last at least 15 days more.
Coffee is not flowing from the fields to the ports and that situation is originating now shipment delays, washouts and no shipments as well. If this situation continues will be losses, because coffee has time to pick and if it's not that will become a loss.
Coffee consumption at the offices will return to normal soon. The whole world and business may be stopped now, but the people will get back to work normally starting in less than 15 days.
Cafeterias and restaurants, in my opinion will start returning little by little in weeks until normally in a few months and that will be because in a few weeks the contagious curve should be starting to curve and decrease. In a few months, the virus will start to be seen as simple as common flu, because that is the way the Virus behaves. In the beginning, they can be lethal and then will lose their strength and disappear o become harmless
By the end of May the virus should be more controlled and activities will start returning normal
So demand destruction is temporary, but losses on supplies may not.
Opinions are welcome...
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