Jan to April - Good rains necessary for cherry filling and good yields.
May to August - Few or no rains to guarantee good quality during harvesting.
Sep to December - Good and abundant rains to trigger and sustain the flowering.
We are coming from a bumber crop, by the nature of the Arabica tree the next crop will be of lower cycle. We have not had a good start with September rains very low and temperatures very high.
Since it will be a lower crop anyway, the key question is how low. If heat and lack of rains persist, then situation could deteriorate further. Hope it helps. GT