But this evening, TS Etau is doing something different as it is landfalling further south in south Central Vietnam. What's the significance of this for coffee? That's where the heart of it is:
So, the other 4 storms had the bulk of their impact north of most of the main Robusta. But TS Etau is aiming right for the heart of it as I type this per this recent radar loop:
Here's the forecast track, which takes it all the way through the heart of Robusta territory tonight and tomorrow:
The expected main effect from Etau is very heavy rain, not wind. Though they have yet to be hit headon by any tropical system this season with the heaviest rain north of there, even the main Robusta areas have still had above to well above normal rainfall the last 30 days from the outskirts of the other storms as well as the monsoon pattern:
So, heavy rain is the last thing they need now, especially with this being early in the harvest season.
As a reminder, NY coffee prices are based on Arabica as opposed to the Robusta basis of the London market. However, there is some correlation between Robusta prices and Arabica prices. So, Arabica is not in a vacuum as regards Robusta.
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