La Nina part:
Was reported by Coffee Market on 13 Nov: 95% chance for La Nina
"13 Nov 2020
The U.S. Governments National Weather Service’s Climate Prediction Centre have reviewed their forecast to project that there is now a 95% chance for a La Niña phenomenon to develop later this year. La Niña being a weather phenomenon, which traditionally brings with it the potential for wet weather for the Pacific Rim countries and in terms of coffee, having an impact upon the climatic conditions within Colombia, Indonesia and Peru. It can also influence dry conditions for the arabica coffee districts in South Eastern Brazil, as well as East Africa coffee producing countries. The question of timing and proliferation of the forecasted La Niña that would historically become more pronounced in December through to February, and whether and when this will manifest, has been raised and the potential for excessive rains to come to Colombia, Peru, Indonesia, so too concerns over the potential to bring drier weather to the main arabica producing areas in Brazil in the coming months."
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