I would say to the contrary, I increased my consumption last year while being mostly home and in need to elevate my energy.
On the other hand, consumption "outside" mainly driven by tourists and other traveling people went down drastically. Also consumption in offices (supplied by employers or coffee machines' suppliers) is down.
IMO, that is the crazy drop that happened in 2021.
It was to certain degree offset by at-home consumption and home stockpiling (I have like 4-month supply right now and buy whenever there is discount offer).
This is an anecdotical info, but I think it is rational behavior.
And I would say people in general tend to behave rationally.
People either drink at home or outside, while the average amount per day and person remains basically the same.
I do not think consumption in 2021 will sharply increase, unless there is a new large-enough group of consumers (maybe China?). At the same time, these is the risk of economical pressures for personal austerity impacting at-home/at-work coffee consumption.
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