Last 6 Consensus by Rabobank
According to the last 6 Consensus prepared by Tango, Rabobank is not so far from the average over these 6 years, this year we have a good diference 60.700 Mbags (Rabobank) to 51.765 Mbags (MEDIAN), but it deserves all the credit. As Rabobank predicts, production of Vietnam was 2020/2021 = 29 Mbags, +5% for 2021/2022 = 30,3 Mbgas, not impossible, see below : 
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