https://www.linkedin.com/posts/judith-ganes-8881065_coffeefutures-coffeeproduction-braziliancoffee-activity-6768467262954442752-moEG


Day 5 of the J Ganes Consulting return visit to assess the coffee trees in Brazil.

I have so far journeyed from Belo Horizonte to Patricinio and then moved south to sul de Minas and visited areas around Varginha and Machado and today will be in the areas around Guaxupé.

Key take aways: Losses to the crop are still staggering and even visited a farm where the irrigated area was nearly as bad as the non-irrigated. Losses of 50% from what was supposed to be the on year crop.

Farms I have visited have shown losses of 30% to 90%. Most have some combination of this depending on the age of the tree and when it was pruned. Elevation is also a factor.

I also went to a pocketed area past Carmo that is higher elevation and has water mines. There was little drought impact as a result but the entire area is under 500,000 bags and was told because of renovations that production will decline anyway by a significant amount for the next crop.

Vegetative growth is behind normal everywhere compromising 2022/23 potential.