Just because trees flowered, it doesn’t guarantee a crop, especially after one adverse climatic condition after the next. There was no miracle recovery in southern Brazil coffee zone from heavy rain. It actually created conditions for more damage, reducing the crop outlook by an undetermined amount.

Usually if you have fewer cherries per node the fruit can grow larger, helping to compensate for the reduction in fruit. However, this is when you have slightly less cherries per node than a full Roseta of 20-23 cherries not when you have burned branch or very little cherry per node.

I went to Brazil thinking that maybe there was a chance for some improvement in the outlook now that rains started but conditions were instead worse than i thought but also in a wider area than what I saw 3 months ago on my last visit.

It was much harder to find a farm or section of a farm in great condition. Even on some areas where the trees had more foliage, the branches had far fewer chumbinhos or pellets that will form into fruit than one would expect especially with solid rains and a prolific flowering.

This is a hole that is getting deeper and will be harder to climb out of.