According ShortDude Majcoffee was spot on for 2021 crop.
Let's hear what he has to say about 2022 crop?
On my coffee fields the coffee plants have suffered from drought and frost like on all farms. I must say, when the rains started this year, the plants were in a much better condition than last year when we finally had some rain.
This year I lost 6% of the area, due to frost. I had to cut the trees down until 40 cm above the ground. Last week I have decided to cut down, another 2% witch, I had pruned, but the trees didn't vegetate. For both areas it will take 3 years to be back in full production.
On my other coffee fields I had a good flowering and I was very optimistic about 2022.
Now we are 4 weeks further, on 1 large area none of the flowers have become fruits.
The other area will bear roughly 5 to 7 bags a hectare. On the Coffee groups I participate it is full of reports like this. For the South of Minas it is a common situation.
For both areas I expected at least 30 bags a hectare in average.
In my opinion, 2022 crop will be lower than 2021 crop was.
By this I mean lower than the numbers Majcoffee indicated for 2021.
Not Ecom/Itau/Safras/Rabobank/USDA or who ever 2021 numbers.
Last week there was a nacional meeting of cooperatives. The number 1 and 2 coffee cooperations both were present. Both their presidents gave an interview.
Both presidents announced that they were very worried about crop year 2022.
Also, Jose Marcos president of Minasul, seems to be very worried about the coffees he still has to receive of 2021 crop for the barter and price fixed contracts witch are still open.
This is the first time, these cooperatives make some noise about a crop reduction.
Looks like Majcoffee has a time machine, 1 year ahead of the 2 biggest brasilian coffee organizations with each more than a 100 agronomists in the field he alone knew more.
Or he was the only one willing to tell.
Please NO posts that somewhere else on this planet you will find the 30 million bags missing until harvest 2023 will kick in.
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