Another line of thought -- have you noticed that, in the first photo you posted late yesterday, Nicholas is wearing a ring on his left hand?
Can we ascertain if he was wearing that ring in the Coburg engagement photos of him in civilian day clothes? If he wasn't wearing a ring for those photos that might support the idea that the photos were taken on different days, as Alexandra didn't give him the ring until 15 April.
But I think that what you need is a description of the engagement gift bracelet. The one you are interested in has cabochon stones. The one I can see is a deep stone, but would someone classify it as as large as a hazel nut? I find it very hard to gauge sizes so I cannot comment on that aspect.
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