I'm guessing Nomadland will win due to all the critical acclaim? I haven't seen it of course, and the one movie from this year that I have seen isn't going to go down as a classic or even later on as a lost classic (Tenet) and I sort of keep forgetting Mank exists (I will see it though!) so this outranks 2011 as the movie year I've responded to the least in recent memory, but that year didn't have a raging pandemic.
I notice Trent Reznor and Atticus Ross were nominated for the Mank score--Reznor and Ross doing the score for a movie set in 1940?!? What on Earth is THAT like?
NP: Prince - "Strange Relationship"