The Deuce
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The Deuce
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Waaaaayyy too much recency bias*
Archived Message
Posted by Blazer
on March 13, 2024, 22:06:17, in reply to "
We win on Friday and we pass Kansas*
"
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Illinois is the 2nd 4 seed in the latest Bracket Matrix, with UK opening up some distance between us and them as the best 4 seed.
1 5 seed playing today (BYU) and 1 3 seed playing for folks hoping for a pipe dream.
Team to root for in bold
UCF vs BYU
Cincy vs KU
Message Thread:
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This response
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3/13 Bracket Watch: Path to keeping a 4 seed
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Carl Spackler
March 13, 2024, 7:34:50
Chris Holtman to DePaul?
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Tooldresser
March 14, 2024, 9:53:08
He might not actually be any good but by their standards that’s a great hire.
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OB25
March 14, 2024, 10:22:21
ESPN+ now:
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JeffFrank
March 14, 2024, 0:31:35
Insane ending:
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JeffFrank
March 14, 2024, 1:15:35
This has more of the action before:
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JeffFrank
March 14, 2024, 16:19:43
tOSU -2 v Iowa*
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GMAW
March 13, 2024, 22:40:02
Mizzou season done and they're still '0-fer' 2024. What a shame*
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UofIL6
March 13, 2024, 22:40:02
Boo…fuking….hoo. *
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harb
March 13, 2024, 22:41:28
Oh my kingdom for Clemson as a 5 seed and Tennessee as the 1 in our region*
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Blazer
March 13, 2024, 22:30:08
those jerks were the final team I needed to win for a 6 leg parlay*
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jayd
March 14, 2024, 7:58:16
Those jerks were the final team I needed to win for a 13 leg parlay*
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EffinIllini
March 14, 2024, 9:14:21
Our 2021 region was filled with orange teams, we can run that back again
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OB25
March 13, 2024, 22:49:58
Clemson or South Carolina would be the tits*
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GMAW
March 13, 2024, 22:32:02
All for it*
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JacobRDaugherty
March 14, 2024, 6:49:01
I love DePaul. Just the losingist losers who ever lost*
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GMAW
March 13, 2024, 22:27:49
Crazy that the DePaul defender sagged back and didn’t get up on the 3 point shooter*
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OB25
March 13, 2024, 22:27:40
When you are ass, you are full ass*
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Mrap24
March 13, 2024, 22:48:37
Meanwhile Miznoz trying to get their first W in 2024, up 5 on UGA with 3:47 left *
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jdl
March 13, 2024, 22:22:27
braggin' rights beatdown seemed so much more impressive in december*
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jaycee
March 14, 2024, 9:35:27
Nope *
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jdl
March 13, 2024, 22:41:03
Not looking good. Has not won a game in 2024. Wow*
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T Mac
March 13, 2024, 22:36:44
Watching. *
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BoCool
March 13, 2024, 22:24:09
And another loss. *
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BoCool
March 13, 2024, 22:40:13
Oh man ouch. *
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illini
March 13, 2024, 22:21:13
ONIONS! *
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jdl
March 13, 2024, 22:20:42
KS looks awful on offense tonight*
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memyselfandillini
March 13, 2024, 22:15:57
This 2nd half is awful basketball. Terrible shot selection and missed shots everywhere.*
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voiceofreason
March 13, 2024, 22:26:35
Don’t let depaul get hot!*
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Mrap24
March 13, 2024, 21:37:23
dont let us get hot!*
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Mrap24
March 13, 2024, 22:15:36
Hell of a possession there*
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ISeeDeadHawkeyes
March 13, 2024, 22:18:29
Painful on so many fronts*
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Mrap24
March 13, 2024, 22:23:23
I thought Neptune would for sure get one more year, but losing this could change that*
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OB25
March 13, 2024, 21:39:33
They're gonna put him out to sea*
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ISeeDeadHawkeyes
March 13, 2024, 22:12:57
Stick a trident in him.*
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complainant
March 14, 2024, 6:47:11
Ole Bill better hope McCuller and Dickinson get healthy because the rest of his roster is ass*
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CWR10
March 13, 2024, 21:29:05
remember when we were excited when we beat them as #1 this year?*
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ArtVandelay
March 14, 2024, 6:12:49
We win on Friday and we pass Kansas*
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JacobRDaugherty
March 13, 2024, 21:57:39
Waaaaayyy too much recency bias*
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Blazer
March 13, 2024, 22:06:17
they have lost 4 of 5 and 6 of last 10. maybe the 3 seed is biased to earlier games
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memyselfandillini
March 13, 2024, 22:54:43
Kansas is down to 18 on Net before this game. They are 17 on KenPom. They will fall more
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JacobRDaugherty
March 13, 2024, 22:13:32
If they drop it’s because their best two players are out for the tourney
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Blazer
March 13, 2024, 22:18:04
If they drop them because of injuries, that would be unprecedented
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jdl
March 13, 2024, 22:20:18
Possible if they lose tonight, but the Kentucky win at Tennessee hurt us in multiple ways
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OB25
March 13, 2024, 22:00:36
I think we should be over Alabama. Kentucky obviously looks a little better than us right now
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JacobRDaugherty
March 13, 2024, 22:05:55
The committee simply is not moving teams up and down a line based on one win or loss
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Blazer
March 13, 2024, 22:07:11
Thinking we are spot 13 on the snake and saying we can get 12 is entirely possible
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JacobRDaugherty
March 13, 2024, 22:11:20
Not how this process works*
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Blazer
March 13, 2024, 22:18:43
I've never heard anyone else refer to it as the snake
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ISeeDeadHawkeyes
March 13, 2024, 22:15:23
I don’t think the loss matters but if Dickinson and McCuller are out for significant time that migh
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CanHartlebHireSnider
March 13, 2024, 22:08:35
Travis Ford sacked at SLU*
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jdl
March 13, 2024, 20:56:49
Watched them play a game at home in January
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Blazer
March 13, 2024, 22:38:03
Watch out for Marker Face*
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illini21
March 13, 2024, 21:45:36
Indiana State coach is the target. Would be a good get*
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CWR10
March 13, 2024, 21:05:26
4 or 5, no McNeese on the other side*
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illini222
March 13, 2024, 20:54:04
Easy to see why these four teams are playing tonight in the BTT. *
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larue33
March 13, 2024, 20:24:09
What's up with the guy that keeps moaning loudly?? Is there someone in pain near the microphones??*
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Wotcher
March 13, 2024, 20:34:07
Look at Jayden Epps. Now look at Skyy Clark.
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Ron McDon
March 13, 2024, 19:49:08
Like atl said, both were probably happy.
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ISeeDeadHawkeyes
March 13, 2024, 20:06:00
Agree*
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Ron McDon
March 13, 2024, 20:06:54
Who?*
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Dilbert
March 13, 2024, 19:53:39
MD sprinting back into the top 75 *
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jdl
March 13, 2024, 19:12:33
Hopefully Rutgers run to close didn’t limit their jump*
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Blazer
March 13, 2024, 19:30:07
Moved up 4 on kenpom*
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jdl
March 13, 2024, 20:55:28
Very interesting answer from Coleman today when Piper asked him about his covid year
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snipes824
March 13, 2024, 13:26:43
Whats odds Marcus could get another year?
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jaycee
March 14, 2024, 10:37:00
Would be great. I don’t see an nba player so it could be the smart move.*
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Toonces
March 13, 2024, 19:07:22
That he’s absent or way low on draft boards is pretty weird.
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opossum jenkins
March 13, 2024, 18:12:30
Who does he guard? His handles are good for a 6-10 college kid but not for the league. *
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Tuscy
March 13, 2024, 19:46:51
I don’t know what you do with him on defense. Have him guard the 3?
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Carl Spackler
March 13, 2024, 18:19:36
I expect his NIL to be 7 figures next year and him to come back*
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JacobRDaugherty
March 13, 2024, 14:06:42
I expect him to be gone and think we’ll be going after the likes of Dawson Garcia and Robbie Avila*
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OB25
March 13, 2024, 14:45:29
Tucker DeVries, come on down*
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assassin
March 13, 2024, 18:24:55
perhaps also Ryan Conwell*
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assassin
March 13, 2024, 18:27:33
Yes and yes*
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illini21
March 13, 2024, 20:31:48
I’d take Cam Christie and Dawson Garcia in a heart beat*
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opossum jenkins
March 13, 2024, 18:16:12
I think Garcia is locker room cancer, so hard pass*
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Blazer
March 13, 2024, 18:16:02
He got blamed for UNC’s season two years ago and then Love did last year
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OB25
March 13, 2024, 18:24:26
Sleepers guys were speculating that Garcia is already shopping
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Blazer
March 13, 2024, 18:49:06
Same has been said about AJ Storr.*
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OB25
March 13, 2024, 19:53:59
I buy that
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Blazer
March 13, 2024, 22:32:14
Maybe he can live with Isaiah Williams, since you thought he was coming back too*
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Ron McDon
March 13, 2024, 14:17:16
I was wrong on a message board. The horror*
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JacobRDaugherty
March 13, 2024, 14:19:00
I just think all the dumb shit you throw out on here is amusing. Keep it up.*
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Ron McDon
March 13, 2024, 14:24:16
Hi Ron! I agree!*
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Poldark
March 13, 2024, 14:38:50
what are you basing that on?*
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IlliniRunner
March 13, 2024, 14:10:31
That TSJ got 7 figures this year and Kofi was offered 7 figures. And Coleman is
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JacobRDaugherty
March 13, 2024, 14:17:37
With the freshman and UNDY's transfer portal magic, I expect us to be a national contender next year
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Warrin'_Illini
March 13, 2024, 13:30:44
BYU was up 21-3, now up 59-56*
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OB25
March 13, 2024, 13:05:41
8-0 BYU run*
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CanHartlebHireSnider
March 13, 2024, 13:10:39
GO UCF*
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GMAW
March 13, 2024, 13:07:41
I’m freaking out about Auburn today
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meanjeans
March 13, 2024, 12:03:50
I say this as someone overthinks this stuff too much myself - this isn’t worth freaking out over
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OB25
March 13, 2024, 13:15:52
From a kenpom perspective they’re the same as that 2022 Houston team *
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meanjeans
March 13, 2024, 13:18:19
Houston was only kenpom 5 going into the ncaas*
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gvibes
March 13, 2024, 20:58:12
ooo
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biclops
March 13, 2024, 12:40:50
Here’s how I see it:
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GMAW
March 13, 2024, 12:40:41
I’m actually more worried about Auburn falling to 5 than us *
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meanjeans
March 13, 2024, 13:07:04
I know the resume is weird, but I just can't imagine a power conference team ranked 4th in KP
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GMAW
March 13, 2024, 13:09:06
Agree. Frankly with Pearl being involved them getting a 3 wouldn’t shock me
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meanjeans
March 13, 2024, 13:20:58
ooo
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jdl
March 13, 2024, 14:08:10
Largely agree with all of this, but, somebody please explain why Duke remains a consensus 3 seed
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Blazer
March 13, 2024, 13:05:25
I agree that Duke is the weakest resume of that entire group
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GMAW
March 13, 2024, 13:06:57
As I said, I'm not making the case we should pass them
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Blazer
March 13, 2024, 13:08:24
I can get behind that*
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GMAW
March 13, 2024, 13:09:38
BYU in Salt Lake City would be BS*
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Poldark
March 13, 2024, 13:01:59
And my conspiracy theory on that is they would just flip the seeds (make BYU the 4 and us the 5)
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GMAW
March 13, 2024, 13:05:25
Is it that functionally different between last 4 and first 5?
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ISeeDeadHawkeyes
March 13, 2024, 12:52:16
Historically 4s beat 13s at an 80% rate. 5s beat 12s at a 65%
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CanHartlebHireSnider
March 13, 2024, 12:56:42
Very interesting, wouldnt have guessed it was that different of a success %*
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ISeeDeadHawkeyes
March 13, 2024, 13:04:03
I was a bit surprised as well. Though I do recall 12 over 5 being the sexy upset
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CanHartlebHireSnider
March 13, 2024, 13:06:49
I always assume the 12/5 upset is because 12 is generally the lowest spot the final P5 teams get
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IlliniSax05
March 13, 2024, 13:12:55
Most 12 seed upsets are the very best mid major conference champs
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GMAW
March 13, 2024, 13:15:10
Yeah I want no part of those teams. Especially GCU and James Madison
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meanjeans
March 13, 2024, 13:30:25
If they actually stick to the S curve, there's no difference.
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GMAW
March 13, 2024, 12:56:13
I may be misreading your post but . . .
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Deuce Poster
March 13, 2024, 12:49:10
We're ahead of Bama and Auburn for now *
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jdl
March 13, 2024, 12:55:55
Oops. I listed Duke twice*
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GMAW
March 13, 2024, 12:54:48
Ah - got it*
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Deuce Poster
March 13, 2024, 12:55:37
Settle down, Beavis*
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Carl Spackler
March 13, 2024, 12:13:56
They are #6 in NET. I don't think they'll be below a top 4 seed*
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CanHartlebHireSnider
March 13, 2024, 12:08:32
I think they're pretty safely a 4*
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GMAW
March 13, 2024, 12:06:44
I hope so. Creighton and Kentucky for sure get added to the list, but SDSU and Wisconsin both drop
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meanjeans
March 13, 2024, 12:18:56
And for documentation purposes, here’s our “since 2/17”
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meanjeans
March 13, 2024, 13:12:45
So what's the freak out? That we inevitably have to face our Pearl demons again?
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Blazer
March 13, 2024, 13:10:36
I think he's (reasonably) scared of (yet again) getting a wildly underseeded team via KenPom*
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GMAW
March 13, 2024, 13:11:16
Yup. Especially when the alternative is #47 South Carolina. I don’t particularly care who
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meanjeans
March 13, 2024, 13:13:53
Got it. Well, I'll continue to hold on to the paper tiger theory
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Blazer
March 13, 2024, 13:17:51
I think that describes Alabama even more so.
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GMAW
March 13, 2024, 13:23:40
Their average NET loss ranking is 27. My assumption is that's #2 in the country behind Alabama
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CanHartlebHireSnider
March 13, 2024, 13:21:05
Selection process update thread
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jdl
March 13, 2024, 10:47:17
Too much of a stretch to also root for Maryland?
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ISeeDeadHawkeyes
March 13, 2024, 7:51:39
I'm pretty skeptical that it matters*
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GMAW
March 13, 2024, 9:54:39
Searching