Would take some majorly unexpected results to shift that, getting to the 3 or 2 required Purdue staying tied with us (since that would help with the tiebreaker) or MSU losing today.

At least we now avoid a zero upside/all downside 5/12 game as long as we don’t screw up this week, and can probably control our own destiny with Purdue as it relatives to head to head seeding with them - since we’ll be matching up in the 4/5 game.

As far as the big tournament 2 seed path, I have to I have to imagine that MSU is now in play to catch us as well though, not likely to happen but they’d almost certainly pass us if they win in Ann Arbor next weekend.

The teams on the 2 line other than Florida have all been fading enough that the hotter teams on the 3/4 line are starting to be a threat (MSU, Nebraska, Texas Tech). Obviously a lot can happen in the next two weeks, but it still kind of feels like we’re going to find that we just needed to get 1 of the 4 coin flip games (Nebraska, MSU, Wisconsin, UCLA) and losing all 4 is going to allow some team to jump us for that last 2 seed.