It takes a lot of rain to replenish soil water and stop production losses. If the rains return tomorrow in sufficient abundance and frequency, and we have no more droughts until harvest, Brazil has the potential to harvest 35 million bags of Arabica coffee in 2022.
Then the next 24 months will be a deficit in world coffee production. To guarantee the supply of coffee, stocks of coffee in the importing countries will have to be used. The stocks will decrease to levels never seen before in the history of coffee in the world.
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