My expectations about coffee production in Brazil.
First of all, I want to state that these expectations are mine, believe who you want, if you don't want to believe or criticize feel free to do so, I am already scarred enough by the whips of the deniers.
See I made the warning in late October and November 2020, search for MAJCoffee, I was so blunt in my espositions that I was even banned from the Forum.
Now what I warned about the great loss of arabica coffee crop in 2021/22 is beginning to be realized with lower exports .
I know that my crop numbers are quite different from Rabobank and Safras&Mercados, a difference of 12 to 13 million bags of coffee for the 2021/22 crop.
Understand my numbers as an indication, I have no intention nor do I want to make crop estimations, 2 million up or down this within expectation, idiot is who wants preciousness and accuracy of a researcher and coffee scholar. I don't have millions of dollars to spend on scientific research. Furthermore, I know several companies that spend fortunes on this research, but their researchers are inexperienced and arrogant young people who present wrong numbers and don't know how to talk to the plants.
Below I reproduce my expectations for the 2022/23 harvest.
Remembering, in November of 2020, you could buy in the market at US$1.0500, and many denied it and had me as an enemy. I am tired of talking about it, but the enemy of the trader is the trader himself, he makes the choice of buying or selling.
Let the criticism come, good reading, good week and good trades.