The more I think about it, this is probably rightArchived Message
Posted by GMAW on January 23, 2024, 19:26:16, in reply to "Disagree."
In the medium and long term, Republicans are in bad shape as long as the party is the cult of Trump.
But in the short term, if Trump is somehow removed from the ballot at this point, MAGA nation are probably more likely to start a war than they are to elect Nikki Haley.
Previous Message
It's the best chance, but there are real factors in Biden's favor regardless. Incumbent are hard to beat, and Dobbs is going to carry a lot of weight no matter who is on the R side. It looks like the economy will be looking pretty good into the election, which is a big deal.
Trump drives turnout for both sides. Lots of his voters will stay home if he's not on the ticket.