I think BYU worries me the most. They’ve had 2 Q1A wins since then vs Baylor and @ Kansas. Q1 losses at Kansas State and Iowa State, and a Q2 loss at Oklahoma State
Q1A 2-1 Q1B 0-1 Q2 1-1 Q3 1-0
That’s pretty substantially better I think
And if I recall correctly, having BYU as a 4 would make scheduling easier for the committee since they can’t play Sundays. And making Auburn a 5 is easier because of all the SEC teams in the mix.
So I am fairly alarmed.
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When the committee released its top 4 seeds on February 17th, it looked like this:
1s: Purdue, UConn, Houston, Arizona 2s: North Carolina , Tennessee, Marquette, Kansas 3s: Alabama, Baylor, Iowa State, Duke 4s: Auburn, San Diego State, Illinois, Wisconsin
Since that time, Auburn has had: 2/17: Q1 home loss to Kentucky 2/24: Q2 road win at Georgia 2/28: Q1 road loss at Tennessee 3/2: Q2 home win vs Miss St 3/5: Q3 road win at Missouri 3/9: Q3 home win vs Georgia
Q1: 0-2 Q2: 2-0 Q3: 2-0
Does that profile hold serve for a 4 seed, or does it drop them to a 5?
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Illinois is the 2nd 4 seed in the latest Bracket Matrix, with UK opening up some distance between us and them as the best 4 seed.
1 5 seed playing today (BYU) and 1 3 seed playing for folks hoping for a pipe dream.