The Deuce: we're currently in a vibes-based stock market. *

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we're currently in a vibes-based stock market. *

Posted by VIV

on August 10, 2026, 09:49:48, in reply to "He's pretty fortunate. He could say he had a dream about an open strait and oil drops 6%"

Previous Message

But, the Iranians lay out demands that would never be met and there's a marginal oil increase. Rinse and repeat

Previous Message

WSJ: Trump Thought Opening the Strait of Hormuz Was Imminent. Iran Had Other Plans.

The prospects of a deal appeared to darken over the weekend when the United Arab Emirates said Iran launched a missile attack on one of its ships and a top Iranian official laid out a series of tough demands for allowing traffic through.

Mohammad Bagher Zolghadr, secretary of Iran’s Supreme National Security Council, said the U.S. would need to permanently end the war, lift its naval blockade, withdraw its forces, end all sanctions, free Iran’s frozen assets, pay war reparations, end threats and insults, and stop military action against Iran’s militia allies around the region before Iran would open the strait, according to a report on state news agency IRNA.

U.S. officials said Trump is patient and expected to ride out the latest diplomatic snarl, especially so long as gas prices remain where they are. The average price of gasoline was $4.02 a gallon on Saturday, according to AAA. That is up from $3.16 a year ago but down a bit from a week ago.

Did they say that with a straight face?

"the alchemy of the tartar sauce and cheese with the fish combined with the buttery steamed bun is so good." - Sounder re: a Filet O Fish

25

Message Thread | This response ↓

Week of August 10 Current Events Thread. Strait’s closed. Moose out front shoulda toldya. - ATL August 10, 2026, 05:50:44

Good fucking riddance Karoline, you horrible bitch. - Stu Yesterday, 17:21:01
- Truth* - KingTalkyTiki Yesterday, 19:07:30
So US sailors are trying to jump off a carrier that won't make a port call? - RVA Yesterday, 17:00:01
- As someone on the bsky noted, we haven’t had a Secretary of Defense fragged by his own troops yet - IlliniRunner Yesterday, 17:47:45
- Navy says it won’t acknowledge increase in suicide attempts - Stu Yesterday, 17:22:51
Maybe we now know why they wheeled the android out a couple days ago. KKKaroline stepping down. - KingTalkyTiki Yesterday, 16:51:09
Good to see Fox News is trying to help sufferers of an epidemic.... - KingTalkyTiki Yesterday, 16:22:09
Let's talk about Standing - complainant Yesterday, 13:18:01
- A better demonstration of actual harm would probably be the counterparty to any trade made with - doubledown Yesterday, 13:31:55
- in the place where we live?* - assassin Yesterday, 13:19:01
  - Now face north.* - KingTalkyTiki Yesterday, 13:20:46
    - That might be more interesting than determining whether a media organization - complainant Yesterday, 13:28:09
    - if you are confused - Sammich Yesterday, 13:27:05
      - Similarly - complainant Yesterday, 13:55:33
I’m not a democratic socialist but I like this ad for the Michigan guy - ATL Yesterday, 12:27:33
- Great ad* - UofIL6 Yesterday, 14:25:05
- This, however, is not it - ECEIllinois Yesterday, 14:05:26
  - Maybe Senate seats should be awarded via Oklahoma drill.* - Warrin'_Illini Yesterday, 14:25:13
  - Why? I think it's exactly the right tone to take with a bully.* - ATL Yesterday, 14:18:54
  - eh...you apparently haven't met the mouth breathers that think bravado shows - Nobster Yesterday, 14:18:53
    - El Sayed was the captain of his HS football, wrestling and lacrosse teams. - ATL Yesterday, 14:20:56
- I'm DSA-curious and I too like that ad.* - KingTalkyTiki Yesterday, 13:28:48
- I have more confidence in him than the average DSA candidate* - ECEIllinois Yesterday, 13:16:24
  - Everyone in MI, WI and MN seem to be playing nice. Just Jasmine Crockett as the outlier. - Warrin'_Illini Yesterday, 13:33:29
- Policy wise, I like him more than the NYC mayor - TarheelIllini Yesterday, 13:02:07
  - Which policies? * - doubledown Yesterday, 13:07:34
  - He's the Muslim man version of Elizabeth Warren. No Pocahontas controversy but unfortunately - Warrin'_Illini Yesterday, 13:06:30
- I’m not a democratic socialist but I like this tweet from the Michigan guy - ATL Yesterday, 12:31:24
  - TIL: El-Sayed is also not a DSA member* - ATL Yesterday, 12:52:05
    - lol...i thought it was a bit.* - Nobster Yesterday, 14:08:51
    - Nit: he probably is, he's just politically savvy enough to realize that it's not good - Sounder Yesterday, 13:13:12
      - In the Midwest they yearn for data centers, flock cameras and private equity.* - Toonces Yesterday, 13:19:05
I have a question about this whole Air Force One decoy situation - Jackie Yesterday, 11:58:01
- Poor Marco got left on the decoy plane. - SurfTheBoneyard Yesterday, 13:41:44
  - I'm just surprised he didn't have Lil' Marco dress as a body double. - KingTalkyTiki Yesterday, 14:12:20
- ooo - Taz Yesterday, 13:01:51
- I didn’t think I needed to clarify this, but obviously Trump could give zero shits about anyone but - Jackie Yesterday, 12:56:50
  - Likely not his decision, but it has been reported that when Clinton had a similar - larue33 Yesterday, 13:28:53
    - Also it was made clear that Clinton was not on the plane; he didn’t sneak off of it* - Herman Blume Yesterday, 18:02:43
  - I would assume you are largely correct - CanHartlebHireSnider Yesterday, 13:10:21
  - I’d guess you are correct, that threat assessment was the Secret Service - DT Yesterday, 13:02:46
- He could have, y'know done something to get everyone but the pilots off the plane as well. * - IlliniRunner Yesterday, 12:55:35
- Answer: he ate 5 chocolate pudding cups while aboard the kitchen car thingy* - memyselfandillini Yesterday, 12:25:44
  - Who could blame him for that?* - ATL Yesterday, 12:33:47
  - And then talked about how Bill Cosby was unfairly shunned* - Carl Spackler Yesterday, 12:28:35
- It was all Trump's call - especially when you saw who made the cut - Jersey Yesterday, 12:18:01
- It's just as interesting who he brought with him in the catering cart and who he left behind - UofIL6 Yesterday, 12:16:27
  - poor Stephen Miller and little Marco* - shua Yesterday, 12:49:21
    - I'm surprised Marco wasn't spooning him in there* - ATL Yesterday, 12:51:24
- also feels more like a precursor to nuke or send in group troops - VIV Yesterday, 12:00:33
- If a planeful of staff and press was shot down by Iran, Trump's only thought would be - doubledown Yesterday, 11:59:59
  - Yep. It's OK to Trump and his administration because they're all terrible people.* - ATL Yesterday, 12:08:15
You guys aren't gonna believe this. Mike Pillow says it's rigged. - doubledown Yesterday, 08:45:29
- When no one else loves you Mike. Crack. Crack always loves you.* - SurfTheBoneyard Yesterday, 13:40:32
- *chef's kiss** - KingTalkyTiki Yesterday, 10:19:28
- he's down double digits. come the fuck on. - VIV Yesterday, 09:41:24
  - When people rig elections, they rig them bigly* - Stu Yesterday, 10:07:40
  - counterpoint: it's the pillow guy* - ATL Yesterday, 09:59:04
    - those aren’t pillows* - memyselfandillini Yesterday, 10:33:22
  - The irregularity is that he paid for 175K. * - doubledown Yesterday, 09:46:19
- Sounds like Trump is going to declare an emergency a la Michael Scott when - Warrin'_Illini Yesterday, 08:56:57
AP calls Wisconsin for Crowley over Hong - complainant Yesterday, 03:18:45
- Oh kalshi - ATL Yesterday, 09:29:43
  - That downplays how volatile it was last night.* - Carl Spackler Yesterday, 09:44:43
- It’s almost like moderates win in purple places while leftists win in more liberal places * - ATL Yesterday, 05:24:21
  - It's more like - CanHartlebHireSnider Yesterday, 08:59:15
    - How do you apply that lens to NYC? It has all of those people in spades.* - ATL Yesterday, 09:29:09
      - And SF. We’re younger, more educated, more white…and continue our steady creep to the middle. * - haighter Yesterday, 10:01:08
        
        Big factor is large population of fairly conservative Chinese here. - ECEIllinois Yesterday, 13:15:37
      - NYC is much more educated. - CanHartlebHireSnider Yesterday, 09:48:14
        
        I think the last line is really important. Hong couldn't get endorsements from AOC, Bernie and other - ATL Yesterday, 09:53:49
  - I don't think you can, or should, make that argument for partisan primary elections. - complainant Yesterday, 05:58:34
- Think her inability to give a clean answer about her old thanksgiving tweet was what did it - ECEIllinois Yesterday, 03:44:16
  - Republicans sent Scott Walker to help. - complainant Yesterday, 03:56:42
If Democratic Socialists want to have any chance, they need better spokes people. - doubledown August 11, 2026, 18:44:09
- The gambit of these DSA types releasing tons of internal polls to try to flood discourse - CanHartlebHireSnider August 11, 2026, 21:02:17
  - Kalshi has the moderate favored right now* - Carl Spackler August 11, 2026, 21:15:09
    - Man this market is much more volatile than a typical election night. - Carl Spackler August 11, 2026, 21:35:41
      - One good thing about Kalshi et al… - DT Yesterday, 08:36:53
- Her solution for Ukraine was that we should stop supplying weapons and “send diplomats”* - Carl Spackler August 11, 2026, 19:30:27
- It feels a bit like the Libertarian party where you have normal people as part of it - reggiedunlop August 11, 2026, 19:23:55
  - What’s next? A license to make toast in your own damn toaster?* - ECEIllinois Yesterday, 03:45:37
  - LP hasn't had normal people as part of it in a very long time. * - doubledown August 11, 2026, 19:31:28
- Wish they could be all Mamdanis, but then you get a Hong* - reggiedunlop August 11, 2026, 19:22:38
- It's a weird situation. - larue33 August 11, 2026, 19:22:20
  - I'm glad she's leading the charge toward communism. It ensures that it'll never happen. - doubledown August 11, 2026, 19:30:32
- I'm convinced that Bluesky is a Russian psyop designed to make DSA look like ignorant teens. - complainant August 11, 2026, 19:07:58
- Turrible* - KingTalkyTiki August 11, 2026, 18:46:06
Speaking of Trump wanting a third term (hi tiki), Illinois Republicans are mad that Pritzker - Taz August 11, 2026, 18:07:25
- They're just mad that they're stuck with Downstate Darren again... - KingTalkyTiki August 11, 2026, 18:38:11
OK, this is the perfect name for the operation - ATL August 11, 2026, 16:15:56
- It’s great that the plane continued normally even though there was some credible threat… - shua August 11, 2026, 16:20:50
  - There was no threat. This was all made up. * - doubledown August 11, 2026, 16:25:36
    - Why would they make it up, it makes him look like a total pussy* - Sounder August 11, 2026, 17:30:05
      - What do you think all the other "assassination" attempts were? - Taz August 11, 2026, 18:09:04
        
        This one makes him look like a pussy - Sounder August 11, 2026, 18:13:41
        
        I think it's the wattle that makes him look like a pussy. * - doubledown August 11, 2026, 18:15:17
        
        10/10* - Sounder August 11, 2026, 18:23:56
        
        Kristi Noem has an extra vagina in her neck. - complainant August 11, 2026, 19:03:52
      - Trying to remake him into Taylor Swift? If he releases "Art of the Deal (Donald's Version)" - doubledown August 11, 2026, 17:31:54
    - Like the bullet in the ear that left zero scar level of "made up"?* - KingTalkyTiki August 11, 2026, 16:57:47
- ...and now I want Panda Express. - KingTalkyTiki August 11, 2026, 16:18:50
  - my 9 year olds favorite restaurant. he ranked in and out behind it after trying it the first time - lcubed August 11, 2026, 16:59:47
Biden has Stage 4 cancer. Trump is unimpressed. - ATL August 11, 2026, 15:38:11
- Imagine thinking Joe Biden is "vicious". Real alpha male stuff right there.* - Warrin'_Illini August 11, 2026, 16:28:54
  - Is he vicious or sleepy?!?* - shua August 11, 2026, 16:31:36
    - Trump? Both.* - KingTalkyTiki August 11, 2026, 16:40:07
    - Viciously sleepy or sleepily vicious?* - DocWalk20 August 11, 2026, 16:33:33
      - One of the lesser known Sex Pistols* - shua August 11, 2026, 18:16:59
- he's such a tremendous fuck. * - VIV August 11, 2026, 16:26:05
- "Why have relationships gotten so toxic around politics?!?" .... - KingTalkyTiki August 11, 2026, 16:09:47
- He is who we thought he was. If you want to crown him, crown his ass. - DT August 11, 2026, 16:01:10
  - Don’t forget the amount of people that will die because of the USAid rug pull* - Carl Spackler August 11, 2026, 17:00:25
  - #truth* - DocWalk20 August 11, 2026, 16:48:09
  - You have described Andrew Johnson.* - complainant August 11, 2026, 16:45:06
    - Answer in the form of a question - do you need to phone a friend?* - memyselfandillini Yesterday, 08:25:08
    - ...and to no one's surprise the current POS in the WH seems to admire that historical POS. - KingTalkyTiki August 11, 2026, 16:56:24
      - Andrew Johnson is different from Andrew Jackson.* - complainant August 11, 2026, 17:38:13
        
        Goddammit, got my genocidal asshole president mixed up with my ineffectual filler president... - KingTalkyTiki August 11, 2026, 17:45:05
      - that's Andrew Jackson* - assassin August 11, 2026, 17:37:05
  - Ari or Osklister could probably help you to understand how someone could.. - KingTalkyTiki August 11, 2026, 16:13:17
  - Trump's death will be Charlie Kirk times infinity - Sounder August 11, 2026, 16:03:48
    - Won't somebody(ies) text you and wake you up? - Taz August 11, 2026, 18:03:07
- $20 that if Joe dies while Trump remains the POTUS, he won’t give us DC feds the day off - timmer August 11, 2026, 15:42:03
  - No chance he would have the stones to show up the funeral, right?* - Sounder August 11, 2026, 16:04:56
    - He didn't even have the guts to show up for the inauguration in 2020... - KingTalkyTiki August 11, 2026, 16:15:07
      - But in the inauguration, he was the loser - Sounder August 11, 2026, 17:42:26
        
        I'm sure he'll be about as welcome there as he was at the opening of the Obama Library.* - KingTalkyTiki August 11, 2026, 17:46:10
        
        Like Trump would ever be caught dead somewhere that has books* - Sounder August 11, 2026, 18:26:37
"Woman Behind Trump at Vaccine Signing Sparks Robot Claims" - assassin August 11, 2026, 12:31:54
- Now I saw some call this "Megan 3.0" and I can't unsee it. - KingTalkyTiki August 11, 2026, 17:52:03
- It's like if you asked AI to create a 1970s stewardess with the lifelike motion... - KingTalkyTiki August 11, 2026, 13:15:24
  - She looks like Kimberly Guilfoyle before the Mar-A-Lago face* - Sounder August 11, 2026, 16:06:22
  - I imagine that when I finally get to fly to South America, all the LATAM stewardesses - ATL August 11, 2026, 13:17:01
- I don't know about that but she's easy on the eyes* - ATL August 11, 2026, 12:35:33
Tornado warning in Chicago. Every phone in the office just blew up.* - Warrin'_Illini August 11, 2026, 10:30:55
- That sounds like a fire hazard* - KCWildcat August 11, 2026, 12:29:02
  - effing Tim Cook* - ATL August 11, 2026, 12:29:23
    - effing Mossad* - Sammich August 11, 2026, 13:17:22
Brad Pitt is drinking again. I say good for him.* - Warrin'_Illini August 11, 2026, 09:46:39
- Why should I care? - TarheelIllini August 11, 2026, 11:40:04
  - You got a lot of nerve cocksucker!* - Warrin'_Illini August 11, 2026, 12:13:39
  - I thought it was Film at 11* - Tortillini August 11, 2026, 12:06:44
    - News of the Film at 11 - IlliniSax05 August 11, 2026, 12:07:39
- I've been drinking quite a bit more than I usually do. - doubledown August 11, 2026, 10:23:43
- Might as well. What else is there? - complainant August 11, 2026, 10:19:44
  - I mean he is still an A++ lister. Think it probably has more to do with his family - Warrin'_Illini August 11, 2026, 10:26:27
    - well, he's a massive piece of shit. there's a reason none of his kids want anything to do with him* - VIV Yesterday, 09:44:16
    - Shows what I know. Of course, I haven't been to the movies in over 20 years. - complainant August 11, 2026, 11:39:15
      - His latest movie preview ran before both Odyssey and Spider-Man when I saw them* - DocWalk20 August 11, 2026, 12:14:19
        
        And he was the star of a box office hit last summer (albeit not Odyssey level).* - ATL August 11, 2026, 12:25:29
Who am I rooting for in South Carolina's GOP primary for US Senate? - complainant August 11, 2026, 07:24:20
- Mark Sanford maybe the least crazy. Mistress trouble and all* - JacobRDaugherty August 11, 2026, 09:34:36
  - Did he stay with his wife or the mistress?* - TarheelIllini August 11, 2026, 11:32:26
    - Have you tried Ask Jeeves?* - complainant August 11, 2026, 11:36:17
- a hurricane* - Sounder August 11, 2026, 09:33:55
- Did Danny Ford even know his picture was being taken?* - DocWalk20 August 11, 2026, 09:32:55
- Duke. Republicans won't turn out for a Black guy* - Stu August 11, 2026, 08:16:39
Serious question: does Trump actually believe that kids are getting soda bottle sized - Sounder August 10, 2026, 20:39:34
- Actual photo: - Stu August 11, 2026, 05:27:10
- Maybe he thought one of those Ben Garrison cartoons was real life* - ECEIllinois August 10, 2026, 23:10:19
- He has no idea, but they’d what he was told, so yes* - Mrap24 August 10, 2026, 21:09:13
  - There is no way anyone told him that* - Sounder August 10, 2026, 21:09:46
    - I mean you see the morons he’s hired. - Mrap24 August 10, 2026, 21:11:12
      - Even RFK isn't stupid enough to think they are injecting a pint glass full of vaccine* - Sounder August 10, 2026, 22:01:16
        
        Sadly I think he is. - WhitmansFolly August 11, 2026, 07:46:14
        
        i think it's easier for people to believe they are dumb instead of incredibly dangerous. and they - torinese August 11, 2026, 07:04:17
        
        If this is true WRT RFK, what is the end game?* - Sounder August 11, 2026, 09:34:31
        
        (1) he is. (2) he is also a liar.* - ATL August 11, 2026, 05:35:11
These people are so dumb. - OB25 August 10, 2026, 19:47:36
- Will he be draft eligible or not? If yes, why? If not, why not? - Potomac August 10, 2026, 19:58:21
  - There may eventually be a real situation that they need to adresss. But this isn’t that. - OB25 August 10, 2026, 20:19:36
    - There actually is reasonable nuance to the debate - Sounder August 10, 2026, 20:40:48
      - Debates have nuances, decisions often do not* - Potomac August 10, 2026, 20:41:59
    - You may be right; I think they are in the process of boxing themselves in... - Potomac August 10, 2026, 20:37:27
  - lol* - assassin August 10, 2026, 20:16:30
- “Or let him play” - snipes824 August 10, 2026, 19:58:04
- It's just sad that they take so much joy in trying to bring people down for the 0.0001% this - UofIL6 August 10, 2026, 19:56:36
LOL - ATL August 10, 2026, 18:44:16
- I was just at buc-ees on Friday and will be again on Wednesday - TarheelIllini August 10, 2026, 19:52:27
  - I think you're missing the joke.* - Illiniphil August 10, 2026, 20:41:32
    - Autophil?* - complainant August 11, 2026, 03:54:49
- Tony Dokupil?* - complainant August 10, 2026, 18:47:28
  - Probably - ATL August 10, 2026, 18:50:33
That is not Tony Dokupil* - ATL August 10, 2026, 16:26:27
- You're not Ron.* - Warrin'_Illini August 10, 2026, 17:15:17
- letting the days go by, letting the water hold me down* - Sammich August 10, 2026, 17:05:14
- Is it Tony Dokoupil?* - DocWalk20 August 10, 2026, 16:39:12
  - Is it Biclops?* - timmer August 10, 2026, 16:40:36
Gross, Pete. Really gross. - ATL August 10, 2026, 16:16:17
i hope bill cassidy never gets another good night's sleep again - assassin August 10, 2026, 15:45:55
- So many opportunities where one person could have made a stand / done the right thing and didn’t* - DocWalk20 August 10, 2026, 16:36:36
  - Someone really needs to write Profiles in Cowardice, guaranteed best seller* - Sounder August 10, 2026, 17:03:55
We’re just blowing through nap time aren’t we? - VIV August 10, 2026, 14:37:39
- He really could've used a fart to wake himself up - UofIL6 August 10, 2026, 22:23:07
Mass. wealth tax proves to be huge fiscal success & number of millionaires in state increases 38%. - ATL August 10, 2026, 11:42:34
- i think the hit to higher ed and bio tech hasn't been fully felt yet.* - torinese August 10, 2026, 14:42:50
- Sorry, but it’s an income tax surcharge not a wealth tax* - Potomac August 10, 2026, 12:00:05
  - OK* - ATL August 10, 2026, 12:19:23
Rather than hold oil the entire time, really wish I’d bought the dips around the BS admin optimism - Carl Spackler August 10, 2026, 10:28:03
we're essentially trying to slowly back out of the room and hope no one will notice. - VIV August 10, 2026, 09:48:43
- If you really think about it, Trump is simply too strong to surrender.* - Toonces August 10, 2026, 12:49:57
- The Strait is open, for target practice. * - memyselfandillini August 10, 2026, 10:20:40
  - What did Kegseth do with all our missiles? Trillion dollar defense budget apparently ain't enough.* - Warrin'_Illini August 10, 2026, 10:33:31
    - about 60% of the budget is operations, maintenance, and personnel (pay, benefits, and allowances) - illiniranger August 10, 2026, 13:32:53
    - They publicly announced last year that logistics are gay/woke and a thing of the past - RVA August 10, 2026, 12:37:20
      - I love how their new recruiting vid shows a guy coming out of a swamp like Rambo - Stu August 10, 2026, 14:19:15
    - Interesting factoid: - Stu August 10, 2026, 10:37:02
      - Is this a result of congressmen making sure their constituents get a piece of the pie?* - timmer August 10, 2026, 14:52:25
      - The path forward on weapons technology is going to be very interesting. - larue33 August 10, 2026, 11:46:59
      - Throwing another $58 Billion at Lockheed to make more should fix that. - Chuck Woodaby August 10, 2026, 11:07:11
      - Lotta mouths to feed. To streamline things, we just need to come up with a bomb - Warrin'_Illini August 10, 2026, 10:40:33
        
        Where's Edward Teller when you need him?* - IlliniOllie August 10, 2026, 11:04:01
        
        HE’S RIGHT BEHIND YOU!!!* - Stu August 10, 2026, 11:25:24
  - did anyone else read this as david caruso and then put on a pair of sunglasses or just me?* - lcubed August 10, 2026, 10:23:58
- Israel and Iran don't really seem to be doing anything to each other - CanHartlebHireSnider August 10, 2026, 10:17:49
  - Bibi said last week that they'll do it alone if need be. Also, Israel struck Iran in June* - VIV August 10, 2026, 10:35:32
He's pretty fortunate. He could say he had a dream about an open strait and oil drops 6% - UofIL6 August 10, 2026, 07:40:39
- we're currently in a vibes-based stock market. * - VIV August 10, 2026, 09:49:48
1/3 of the American public would believe TCG if he pissed in their ear and told them it was raining - TarheelIllini August 10, 2026, 06:14:07
- As if he has any control over when and where he pisses. * - doubledown August 10, 2026, 07:45:56

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