I'm a bit in fear of what we are going to hear and see later today* Archived Message
Posted by RSMBob on October 25, 2023, 11:13:05, in reply to "In fairness, as of 10am CT yesterday, the NHC predicted Otis with max sustained of 90mph"
Previous Message Only six hours later did they come back with 140mph. Think about it. You’re in Acapulco and at 2pm local time you were only expecting a Cat 1 tops storm. The relative complacency that was going on there. Previous Message Anybody can copy/paste from weather.com when summoned. He used to be on top of this stuff. Previous Message Previous Message Arguably one of the biggest failures of modern numerical weather forecast occurred on the Pacific coast of Mexico since yesterday. While virtually all global and hurricane models predicted a tropical storm's landfall below the Category 1 threshold, Hurricane Otis exploded into a massive monster storm of the highest Category 5. The unprecedented failure of weather models is likely to bring fatal consequences, especially for the completely unprepared large space of the million city of Acapulco, where the storm made landfall this morning in Category 5 intensity. With top wind gusts of 270 mph, Otis is the strongest hurricane to ever hit Mexico's Pacific coast and the only one to make landfall with the highest intensity.
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