Will 18-13 (plus 1-1 in the conference tourney) do it? Because I'm struggling to see 3 surefire wins on this schedule. At Minnesota and Iowa/UCLA at home? Iowa is probably the only gimme there, but nothing seems to be a gimme with this team.
MSU, Purdue, plus @Wisconsin, @Michigan and Duke all seem like certain losses right now.
This could get really dicey. I saw a comp on Twitter that this is playing out like 1979. That was before my time but seems apt.