There game vs Wiscy last week they had a big explosive TD, got a safety (points plus field position), they are impossible to be successful against when you have the ball, they were +2 in turnovers, etc.
People say Iowa has some sort of magic touch, but really they dominate a few of the five favors to a high degree. Even yards are more correlation to EPA and success rate. You can be explosive just a couple times and win a game despite being bled to death by your opponents success rate/more yards.
I don’t love that statsowar post he has every week of “how bad did we get beat” because it only looks at success rate.
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Explosive plays… Washington and Bryant
Success rate… Feagin keeping us ahead of the sticks
Points in the scoring areas… 2-2 for two TDs in the RZ
Field position… they onside kicked it to us and we had two great punt returns
Turnovers… even, but you could argue the onside kick was a turnover by then the way it flipped field position
All the other stuff ppl talk about like penalties, time of possession, etc is noise
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We won because we took advantage of mistakes and limited our own.
After getting demolished by Purdue and Nebraska, how are we good enough to play this team even, on the road, a week later? A team that played even with Ohio State?
And if we are that good, why did we blow a 10 point second half lead?
I just can’t think of any way we can be as “bad” as our record indicated and still play the way we did yesterday. It’s not like 4 fumbles all bounced our way.
So if we’re not that “bad”, why did we suck so badly for the first 6 games?