great luck for him to fall to them bc hes a stud*
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Welcome to the Outlier Draft.
The best players? All at "non-premium" positions. The 3 guys I think that can't miss are a running back, a safety, and an off-ball LB.
The prospects at premium positions all have a major flaw. The best pass rusher has T-Rex arms. The best offensive tackles might actually be guards. The best QB thinks whole milk is spicy.
Trying to figure out who goes where is a dart throw. Well, to be fair, it's always a dart throw. It's *especially* a dart throw this year, ok? Trying to figure out which team is going to be ok overlooking which weakness is going to be damn near impossible.
In the thread below, I'll make some posts about my thoughts on the different positions to get into more specific discussions on players.
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Message Thread | This response ↓
 Let's talk some NFL draft - VIV March 31, 2026, 9:52:44
- Round 1 thoughts - VIV Today, 2:25:52
- Maybe not shocking but no one called about Mac Jones * - MC Yesterday, 22:49:55
- Was 8 minutes between picks too fast? Do we need nine?* - gvibes Yesterday, 22:08:16
- Damnit Seattle * - MC Yesterday, 22:05:21
- Poor Jermod McCoy. Who was the last Jermod to slide this much in the draft?* - bbonb Yesterday, 22:00:12
- Great night for the Jets, snipes.* - voiceofreason Yesterday, 21:56:39
- Bills, a team after my own heart! 3 trade backs!* - Carl Spackler Yesterday, 21:56:03
- The Athletic gave the Bears an A+* - bjl63 Yesterday, 21:54:12
- Jets get pick 30, 49ers get 33, 179. So 27 turns into 33, 90, 179. Carl Spackler, thoughts? * - MC Yesterday, 21:49:51
- So the Pats are moving Campbell to guard? Big time ooops pick there * - MC Yesterday, 21:44:42
- Pats get 28, Bills get 31 and 125 * - MC Yesterday, 21:43:42
- bears restructure jackson and kmet to free up $10m in cap space.* - Ari Gold Yesterday, 21:42:11
- going to be some interesting choices at pass rush in the 2nd round* - DanSaint Yesterday, 21:38:28
- Alright 49ers. Don’t let me down. Unless you trade down? * - MC Yesterday, 21:36:20
- Nice.* - Toonces Yesterday, 21:34:47
- Exciting, he’ll be able to play in his home state!* - shua Yesterday, 21:33:51
- Minnesota fans really wanted him. Gonna be big time haunting here * - MC Yesterday, 21:32:49
- What an upgrade in athleticism in the LB and safety groups* - OB25 Yesterday, 21:31:48
- Congrats, Bears fans. Can’t believe he fell that far.* - voiceofreason Yesterday, 21:31:21
- Exciting whites! * - MC Yesterday, 21:30:52
- Mel needs to stfu about Shedeur. He sucks.* - Toonces Yesterday, 21:26:12
- LOL, couldn’t watch earlier tonight and just turned it on. Literally 30 seconds in… - OB25 Yesterday, 21:25:44
- Ok bears time. Gotta go safety right?? * - MC Yesterday, 21:24:17
- BE THE GM: Who do you take at #25? - Carl Spackler Yesterday, 21:24:08
- 2026 theme: exciting whites - Draino Yesterday, 21:20:48
- Fuck. Dallas is going to be good. Sad * - MC Yesterday, 21:18:42
- Also feels like KC played themselves on the draft pick. Did they need to trade up? * - MC Yesterday, 21:15:19
- I still CANNOT believe Titans didn’t give Salah either Reese or Styles. Idiots. * - MC Yesterday, 21:14:14
- Theineman starting to look like a real option* - bjl63 Yesterday, 21:13:40
- Having fucking styx as your hype song is very lame* - John Coctostan Yesterday, 21:05:25
- That’s a great trade for Cowboys. Got 23, 114 and 137 * - MC Yesterday, 21:04:50
- AJ Brown, he gawn* - Mrap24 Yesterday, 21:02:09
- Intradivision trade! Eagles move up for Cowboys pick!* - Carl Spackler Yesterday, 20:59:19
- WR?* - bjl63 Yesterday, 21:00:01
- WR?* - bjl63 Yesterday, 21:00:00
- Interesting. I wonder if that means Theineman could fall to 25 - bjl63 Yesterday, 20:53:50
- They didn’t take the safety from Oregon? * - MC Yesterday, 20:53:30
- WOW ON CALEB BANKS!!!!* - Carl Spackler Yesterday, 20:52:58
- Fun: Dolphins now have 10 picks in the first 5 rounds. Be still my heart! - Carl Spackler Yesterday, 20:45:20
- VIV got one right!* - Orangeillini Yesterday, 20:32:34
- Suggestion: Watch The Athletic Football Show on YouTube. Not spoiling picks.* - Carl Spackler Yesterday, 20:29:45
- LOLWUT* - MC Yesterday, 20:28:32
- Uh* - assassin Yesterday, 20:27:42
- NFLN just couldn't help spoiling that one huh* - gvibes Yesterday, 20:27:38
- Ty Simpson at 13, HFS!* - Carl Spackler Yesterday, 20:27:02
- Annoyed Dallas got Downs. effers * - MC Yesterday, 20:22:14
- This the kid that screwed over Iowa twice right?* - CanHartlebHireSnider Yesterday, 20:20:38
- Yep* - illini21 Yesterday, 20:24:19
- Don't want to shock you, but love the Dolphins being like "You think we have enough picks NOW" - Carl Spackler Yesterday, 20:20:19
- Don't know about this one, Miami* - gvibes Yesterday, 20:19:31
- Cowboys gotta be taking Downs right? * - MC Yesterday, 20:13:40
- great luck for him to fall to them bc hes a stud* - Mrap24 Yesterday, 20:19:45
- Man, doesn’t get much better than that for the Giants* - Carl Spackler Yesterday, 20:06:45
- Well this draft doesn’t make sense * - MC Yesterday, 20:00:18
- 2 picks behind but gotta make sure to get those commercials in
 - IlliniSax05 Yesterday, 19:55:31
- tOSU with 3 picks in the top 7. - Illiniphil Yesterday, 19:50:57
- Moving to 8 minutes is as great a change as the pitch clock in MLB* - bjl63 Yesterday, 19:48:52
- Not sure they needed to move up for that* - gvibes Yesterday, 19:45:59
- lol, holy shit. What a waste of a trade up.* - voiceofreason Yesterday, 19:45:31
- Oh look an Illinois highlight!* - biclops Yesterday, 19:42:41
- The giants going hard on the edge rusher* - CanHartlebHireSnider Yesterday, 19:41:18
- Great fall for the giants* - CoronaTheirAss Yesterday, 19:41:14
- A defense of all edges* - gvibes Yesterday, 19:40:33
- Titans Reddit is angry.* - nash Yesterday, 19:35:55
- Who are the chiefs trading up for?* - gvibes Yesterday, 19:35:14
- giants, browns, and skins have to be loving life.* - Ari Gold Yesterday, 19:34:41
- I know you want to give your #1 pick a receiver but man - CanHartlebHireSnider Yesterday, 19:34:27
- Wow. I like Tate, but 4? Especially with Reese sitting there…* - bjl63 Yesterday, 19:31:48
- Tate before Reese, Styles, and Downs* - Orangeillini Yesterday, 19:31:42
- Goddam. That seems like two bad picks in a row* - gvibes Yesterday, 19:31:37
- i like this year’s pace much better.* - Ari Gold Yesterday, 19:30:56
- Bad teams stay bad for a reason. Poor Cardinals fans.* - Carl Spackler Yesterday, 19:27:27
- Damn, Dianna Russini had so much incriminating stuff on twitter she just killed her accoujt. - Toonces Yesterday, 19:22:23
- They flew Taylor Macgregor all the way down to Miami for a 60 second interview? - biclops Yesterday, 19:16:06
- *scrambles to mute it before Mendoza starts talking* * - Orangeillini Yesterday, 19:14:49
- So the Bears pick in about 3.5 hours?* - shua Yesterday, 19:14:33
- Ok, now the fun starts.* - voiceofreason Yesterday, 19:14:26
- This is revolting. Even before the rapist was celebrated.* - voiceofreason Yesterday, 19:06:20
- I absolutely hate the start of drafts. get the teams on the clock!* - snipes824 Yesterday, 19:05:55
- Just start the damn thing already - IlliniSax05 Yesterday, 19:05:08
- All the books taking all the bets off the board* - Carl Spackler Yesterday, 19:01:54
- In the pantheon of stupid, pointless things... - IlliniSax05 Yesterday, 18:50:09
- This is such a boring draft, just can’t get my interest up for it* - OB25 Yesterday, 18:45:44
- Illini to watch in the draft?* - Taz Yesterday, 18:40:10
- Are we watching ABC, ESPN, or NFL Network?* - biclops Yesterday, 18:33:13
- Pickens just signed his Franchise Tag. Wonder if he’s on the move tonight.* - voiceofreason Yesterday, 18:17:55
- When are the Bears comp picks?* - Dilbert Yesterday, 12:29:18
- Vrabel’s gonna need to have more difficult conversations… - SurfTheBoneyard Yesterday, 12:22:33
- ooo - AintHatin Yesterday, 18:01:12
- Now 2024 in Mississippi per TMZ… - SurfTheBoneyard Yesterday, 17:18:43
- Her son’s name is Mike, born 9 months after she was reporting from Tennessee. - KCWildcat Yesterday, 15:54:32
- I hope he didn't use the trickle-truth method. Just rip the band-aid off, Mike* - Sammich Yesterday, 13:22:46
- Same night Rudy Gobert got diagnosed with COVID - Chicago1995 Yesterday, 13:01:59
- He’s already taking day 3 off for therapy lol - CanHartlebHireSnider Yesterday, 12:39:20
- RECEIPTS!* - LeatherneckIllini Yesterday, 12:29:05
- Thank god for Benjo. - Warrin'_Illini Yesterday, 12:25:26
- Which feed is the best for analysis and non-spoilers? GTFO with "sources" b4 each pick* - Desert Yesterday, 10:17:04
- What are you looking for the Bears to do tonight? - Carl Spackler Yesterday, 7:11:34
- Kiper says the Bear take Edge: R Mason Thomas. That seems way early for him to go, imo* - ibdoc Yesterday, 11:04:48
- No idea who i want but i'll convince myself that whoever they take is going to be a stud* - illini21 Yesterday, 9:51:41
- Also Spacks, I’ll have to give you my “you be the GM” picks after the fact. * - VIV Yesterday, 9:43:05
- Thoughts - VIV Yesterday, 9:41:16
- I like the Oregon Safety a lot, so him or the best DT/DE available. - Warrin'_Illini Yesterday, 8:30:14
- Pass rush. Anything to create a pass rush - CanHartlebHireSnider Yesterday, 8:17:06
- I am resigned to them taking Parker. I’ll go to bed disappointed - bjl63 Yesterday, 7:54:46
- draft a player that has a really good impact on the field - IlliniSax05 Yesterday, 7:18:24
- OFFICIAL VIV FINAL MOCK DRAFT - VIV April 22, 2026, 20:28:02
- Gross* - bjl63 April 22, 2026, 21:58:55
- Kind of wild how much less attention I’m paying to this draft. Not sure if this is because - gvibes April 22, 2026, 19:01:00
- Now the important stuff.... - KingTalkyTiki April 22, 2026, 10:07:50
- The Bailey v Reese selection at 2 has been crazy. - VIV April 22, 2026, 9:03:32
- biggs is going with young at 25, but said they could trade up to 20ish for a 3rd to get an edge or - Ari Gold April 22, 2026, 7:26:02
- My Big Board for the Bears at #25 - Carl Spackler April 21, 2026, 21:38:48
- lying season RUMOURS- buying or selling? - VIV April 21, 2026, 10:18:12
- You covered a lot of them, but here's a few while I think through some more. - Carl Spackler April 21, 2026, 12:59:32
- responses - VIV April 21, 2026, 13:15:12
- NM* - Carl Spackler April 21, 2026, 13:00:00
- Well this is no fun. I agree with all of these except for the Titans and Love.* - Carl Spackler April 21, 2026, 11:01:40
- Local talk is all about Love at 3 and trade back in to get Simpson. - Desert April 21, 2026, 10:59:58
- And lest there be any confusion, I think this plan is dumb as hell. - Desert April 21, 2026, 11:40:20
- Trade out no matter what. Avoid Simpson landmine. - uofi1998 April 21, 2026, 11:37:34
- between Allgeier and Love, you would have $25M in guaranteed money committed to the RB position. - VIV April 21, 2026, 11:04:40
- I can't see how an RB at 3 makes sense. If he's not, like, a top 3 RB he's overpaid* - gvibes April 21, 2026, 11:04:03
- Lots of chatter that Jermod McCoy could slip into the 2nd round due to his knee injury. - Carl Spackler April 20, 2026, 20:28:32
- Jimmy G considering retirement. He’s made $156MM in his career. HFS* - Carl Spackler April 20, 2026, 14:50:22
- Also now 6 teams with multiple firsts, that's fun* - Carl Spackler April 18, 2026, 20:42:15
- Lawrence to Cincy for package including 10th pick * - MC April 18, 2026, 19:29:06
- and for some players I'm lower on than the consensus - VIV April 17, 2026, 13:11:54
- Will Anderson Jr signs 3 year, $150MM extension with Texans. - Carl Spackler April 17, 2026, 12:51:15
- Thought this was a great article on draft value + free agent availability - Carl Spackler April 16, 2026, 21:03:19
- Talking a bit more in depth about some of the players I'm higher on than consensus: - VIV April 16, 2026, 12:46:36
- per the Rich Hill draft trade chart. 25 + 57 = 14. if Caleb Downs falls to 14, are you moving up? - VIV April 15, 2026, 15:34:39
- Ian Rapaport says Dexter Lawrence and NYG contract talks have “reached an impasse” - Carl Spackler April 14, 2026, 21:43:33
- For draft nerds: A new mock draft simulator used by the stock exchange guys today. - Carl Spackler April 14, 2026, 20:55:06
- Sherrone Moore avoids jail time - Sounder April 14, 2026, 15:38:02
- Russini resigns from The Athletic* - CanHartlebHireSnider April 14, 2026, 14:49:16
- cutting to the chase because I was getting bored of positional breakdowns- VIV TOP 100 - VIV April 14, 2026, 12:23:56
- nm - VIV April 16, 2026, 12:45:56
- What do you think of McCoy having been removed from some boards because of the knee? - voiceofreason April 14, 2026, 16:32:38
- I have been Wishcasting Makai Lemon falling to 25 for 3 months* - JacobRDaugherty April 14, 2026, 14:36:20
- Jacas at 26? Seems high for a 7th rounder - illini222 April 14, 2026, 13:18:57
- chort* - VIV April 14, 2026, 13:19:44
- The more I learn, the less I like the idea of a DT at 25. I think that’s reaching - bjl63 April 14, 2026, 13:10:57
- putting some tiers on it - VIV April 14, 2026, 12:39:27
- This is strictly BPA, right? No adjustment for positional value?* - Sammich April 14, 2026, 12:29:57
- OTs - VIV April 10, 2026, 17:06:57
- not going to talk about TEs - VIV April 10, 2026, 15:47:14
- I want the safety from Oregon. Tackling machine.* - Toonces April 9, 2026, 19:07:52
- for fun I tried to do another AI Mock Draft for the Bears - DanSaint April 9, 2026, 18:33:47
- WRs Part 2 - VIV April 9, 2026, 15:05:32
- WRs (part 1) - VIV April 8, 2026, 15:16:53
- Anyone following the Diana Russini drama? - KCWildcat April 8, 2026, 9:38:43
- This seems pretty meh to me.* - Carl Spackler April 8, 2026, 12:44:35
- Imagine blowing up your career and marriage in one fell swoop. - Toonces April 8, 2026, 11:37:25
- So not only was there the accusation she was hooking up with the Redskins GM for scoops - CanHartlebHireSnider April 8, 2026, 11:06:56
- She should lay it down on my face.* - Warrin'_Illini April 8, 2026, 10:45:17
- The price for scoops is wiiiild, Craig* - chorizo April 8, 2026, 10:38:04
- OB25 is… a couple of posts below* - DocWalk20 April 8, 2026, 10:25:45
- My mock: - DanSaint April 7, 2026, 20:33:22
- Well this is weird - OB25 April 7, 2026, 20:04:26
- OFFICIAL VIV MOCK DRAFT 1.0 - VIV April 7, 2026, 12:22:38
- HYPOTHETICAL: You’re Ryan Poles. The Jets call and offer you their 5 firsts next 2 years for Caleb. - Carl Spackler April 7, 2026, 8:54:18
- Guys, I also said no, relax. - Carl Spackler April 7, 2026, 12:35:02
- 5 firsts over 2 years? - uofi1998 April 7, 2026, 10:48:46
- I'm not gonna ruin Caleb Williams' life just to hop back on the draft carousel* - Sammich April 7, 2026, 9:39:53
- Lucy Harris smart smart smart Martin Harris dumb* - gvibes April 7, 2026, 9:38:55
- what? no. why? no. huh?* - VIV April 7, 2026, 9:36:48
- I appreciate your love of roster building but Caleb is the guy.* - Toonces April 7, 2026, 9:32:22
- Hell yeah, give me 5 shots at finding the next Trubinsky* - Tortillini April 7, 2026, 9:31:32
- Shut your mouth Spackler, go run a mock simulator where you get 15 6th round picks or something - OB25 April 7, 2026, 9:26:03
- I wouldn’t think twice about saying no.* - CanHartlebHireSnider April 7, 2026, 9:07:21
- I'm not trading Caleb. Especially now that we know he and Ben are a good fit.* - Warrin'_Illini April 7, 2026, 9:06:41
- No way in hell. - bjl63 April 7, 2026, 9:04:10
- not a chance - IlliniSax05 April 7, 2026, 9:03:22
- Similar to last year, I find myself in a place where nothing looks good for our options at #25. - Carl Spackler April 6, 2026, 12:24:17
- Dexter Lawrence (Giants All-Pro DT) has requested a trade* - OB25 April 6, 2026, 12:10:00
- seeing potential Tyreek Hill to Bears chatter on the twits* - assassin April 3, 2026, 16:43:31
- NFL officially rejects the Bears final appeal for comp picks - OB25 April 3, 2026, 10:53:39
- Uar Bernard is my guy - ATL April 3, 2026, 8:04:08
- Gabe - jdl April 2, 2026, 14:42:58
- Kirk Cousins is generational in signing contracts - CanHartlebHireSnider April 2, 2026, 10:35:54
- Kirk cousins' career did not age well for Bomani Jones* - illini21 April 3, 2026, 14:34:41
- Just think how much more he'd be worth if had more than 1 career playoff win* - illini222 April 3, 2026, 14:21:48
- second only to bamm.* - Ari Gold April 2, 2026, 13:34:57
- LV paying him 20M this season seems insane. Go sign more OL with that money!* - John Coctostan April 2, 2026, 12:19:20
- By my count he’s signed for $559 million total dollars - CanHartlebHireSnider April 2, 2026, 10:41:17
- Hey VIV, you may enjoy this - Ben Solak's all-film team - MC April 1, 2026, 19:45:25
- Seemed like it was trending this way, Puka Nacua heading to rehab* - OB25 April 1, 2026, 19:22:10
- RBs - VIV April 1, 2026, 13:01:16
- What if Love falls and is available at 25. Should the Bears take him? - bjl63 April 1, 2026, 14:34:21
- If Ana de Armas wants to blow you…Should you let her? - digs April 1, 2026, 14:45:08
- Lol* - CoronaTheirAss April 1, 2026, 15:06:31
- Absolutely. He's a complete game changer * - illini21 April 1, 2026, 14:41:04
- i would eat my hat. i would put it at like 99% that he goes top 10. - VIV April 1, 2026, 14:37:48
- no - IlliniSax05 April 1, 2026, 14:36:45
- Warren and McCaskey said Bears are still appealing the comp pick issue - AintHatin April 1, 2026, 11:36:46
- So what you’re saying is, the best approach may be to trade down in the first round - Carl Spackler March 31, 2026, 11:52:21
- QBs - VIV March 31, 2026, 10:42:43
- I am absolutely ready to mock everyone who says Allar could be thing post-draft* - MC April 1, 2026, 19:46:01
- I think Simpson in the top 9 sounds amazing. He’s definitely worth a top 9 pick.* - voiceofreason April 1, 2026, 19:36:39
- There were some weird takeaways recently from the Vikings getting Murray to “stay in school” - Carl Spackler March 31, 2026, 12:37:39
- I did see a mock yesterday (CBS, I think) that had Luke getting drafted in Round 7 to Tampa. That'd - LovetheChief March 31, 2026, 12:30:24
- The Cardinals are going to have to take a flier on somebody. I'm hoping Nussmeier in the 3rd. - Desert March 31, 2026, 10:54:35
- If the Cardinals take Simpson, that might be it... not sure I can handle this franchise anymore.* - uofi1998 March 31, 2026, 10:47:28
- I saw some hype pieces on Mesidor and now I want SF to take him. - MC March 31, 2026, 9:58:32
- delete - VIV March 31, 2026, 9:54:09
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